One of the highlights of the Bloomberg New Economy
Gala, which was held in Singapore on 17 November 2021, was an interview given
by our Prime Minister, Mr. Lee Hsien Loong to John Micklethwait, Editor-in-Chief of
Bloomberg News. The entire crux of that interview was the fact that Mr. Lee
made the point that it would not be easy to implement a wealth tax and that our
tax system needed to be progressive and fair. More on the interview can be found
at:
Taken from the Business Times – Copyright – Ministry of
Communications and Information
For a nation that has spent the last two decades being
all about “Attracting Wealth,” it was a something of a revolutionary step for
our Prime Minister to even mention the topic of a “wealth tax” at a forum aimed
at pleasing the international business community.
One has to ask what was going on and most likely answer
was the fact that this was an idea brought up by Dr. Jamus Lim, Member of Parliament
for Sengkang GRC. Around two weeks before the Prime Minister gave the interview
with Bloomberg, Dr. Lim proposed imposing a wealth tax on the richest in Singapore.
Whilst Dr. Lim may be a member of the opposition Worker’s Party, he is also a
highly respected economist, having worked at both the World Bank and Abu Dhabi
Investment Authority. So, it was impossible to tar Dr. Lim with the label of
being a stary eyed socialist and the idea is now in open discussion. More of
Dr. Lim’s proposal can be found at:
I will leave the merits of a “wealth tax” to the more
qualified. I will however, touch on the fact that Singapore has been a fairly
unequal society and the problem we face is not so much a question of attracting
wealth but the type of wealth we are attracting.
Whilst the government has tried its best to present
Singapore as having a wonderful forward-looking economy based on innovation, the
truth is much of the thinking behind Singapore’s economic structure remains
stuck in the 1960s when it was essential to have a manufacturing base and our competitive
edge was about being cheaper than the Western world (which Japan is included)
and having a work force that would do as it was told. Our economy back then was
based on the premise that we attracted rich outsiders who would give us the
good things in life.
Whilst the industries have changed, the thought
process behind our economic development remains the same. This line of thinking
has been programmed into the governing DNA. Whatever you talk about, the
official answer will always revert back to this line of thinking. Why must we
have casinos? Because rich foreigners will gamble their money here and give us
jobs? Why must you have an open-door immigration policy? Because you need the
foreigners to create jobs for the locals. Why must you house construction
workers in tight, cramped and unsanitary conditions? Because the heavy industry
that employs most of us needs cheap labour to be competitive.
Nearly every pertinent question raised in the public
sphere has been met with this line of thinking and the same goes for the issue
of making the rich pay more tax. – Standard answer is that Singapore needs low
taxes to make it attractive to the rich who will create a demand for all sorts
of things which will create great things for the locals.
Whilst this line of argument has had its merits,
particularly during the boom years of the 80s, one has to ask if its relevant
today. If you look at the wealth that we’re attracting, you’ll find it is doing
what the local wealth has been doing for years – plonking it into very
expensive real estate. Whilst I am not against investing in property per se, but
if you look at Singapore (and Hong Kong), most of national wealth is tied up in
property rather than in the stuff that creates jobs.
If you look at the companies that make up the Straits
Times Industrial Index, you’ll find that around a third of those companies are
landlords. If you look at the Forbes list of richest Singaporeans, you’ll find
that the “home-grown” are essentially landlords.
Again, there is nothing wrong with being a landlord
from a business perspective. However, from the socio-political-macroeconomic
perspective, something is very wrong if landlords have a disproportionate hold
of things and get to dictate national policy as has been seen with the dormitory
owners.
Think about it, Sir James Dyson’s biggest headline
grabbing move was to buy an expensive piece of property in Singapore. This was
hailed as “investment.” To be fair, Sir. James did move his headquarters to
Singapore and there is a technology centre in Singapore, which will hopefully
generate some of the “brain” work for the locals. Then, there is the example of
Eduardo Saverin, a co-founder of Facebook who is famous for legal action against
the main man at Facebook (Mark Zuckerberg). As well as buying property, Mr.
Saverin has set up a venture capital fund. He has, however, done little in the
way of skills transferring or getting involved in business himself.
So, what have our foreign investors actually done? What
have our local billionaires actually done for us?
I’m not advocating a China style forced redistribution.
However, what one should look at is making the tax system encourage genuine
wealth creation rather than just making it easy for the world’s wealthy to
plonk their money into stuff that doesn’t actually do much for the economy.
This is where Mr. Lee and his team need to put on their thinking caps. Sure, we
need to attract wealth but we need to see to it that wealth does not become
lazy and goes into things that actually benefit the economy as a whole. If we
need to “wealth tax” we should tax “lazy wealth.”
3 comments
Unfortunately, any attempt to do a wealth tax will end up as a middle class tax instead. The government really need to target the top 10% billionaires and millionaires instead
Great writeup.
For a mature economy like Singapore with high level of capitalism and a generally risk averse culture, it's tough to cultivate a truly innovative and entrepreneurial ecosystem where startups are able to access capital and business financing easily. However in recent years we are taking the right steps to change this and hopefully, within the current generation, policies will further encourage a more entrepreneurial mindset and environment while "lazy capital" has less of a dominant role in our business macro landscape.
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